Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 281.784311 319.133560 360.826400 411.047906 470.205028 538.042926 622.253604
2025-01-26 234.311072 285.144585 347.258835 429.723962 537.823802 676.825618 872.613329
2025-02-02 211.900279 270.471124 346.536368 454.594387 607.564180 821.797735 1154.725817
2025-02-09 188.378579 249.171527 331.842540 455.591659 641.777655 921.316075 1393.257501
2025-02-16 166.809439 226.911790 311.684050 444.053690 653.457421 986.838519 1591.617608
2025-02-23 150.352399 209.526363 295.679481 435.309834 666.364369 1054.480352 1807.676252
2025-03-02 141.555637 202.070634 293.024356 446.125422 711.529273 1183.266879 2168.008840
2025-03-09 131.627045 191.728777 284.521581 445.863564 737.085137 1281.275015 2495.058330
2025-03-16 121.242712 179.610888 271.787952 436.540411 744.459712 1345.653652 2768.659198
2025-03-23 114.206973 172.098506 265.645605 437.643579 770.947985 1452.533715 3172.637082
2025-03-30 106.131208 162.181080 254.481061 428.225511 775.321984 1513.737520 3484.530026
2025-04-06 100.120369 155.166159 247.563650 425.718591 792.984054 1607.316888 3914.691788
2025-04-13 91.582836 143.443114 231.757458 405.172701 771.382373 1609.893510 4101.003723
2025-04-20 89.632907 142.837146 235.611220 423.372683 836.213126 1834.632311 5055.886852
2025-04-27 88.619531 143.731365 242.191695 447.799212 919.477591 2129.081021 6404.576424
2025-05-04 84.607826 138.955717 237.750847 448.777003 948.155417 2285.971047 7357.345823
2025-05-11 79.460789 131.753636 228.081764 437.451525 945.011502 2352.342195 7996.608874
2025-05-18 75.077130 125.662051 220.074370 428.867770 947.444368 2436.486920 8768.090797
2025-05-25 73.166350 124.029327 220.662908 439.485206 1001.434446 2695.917297 10531.765885
2025-06-01 70.242985 120.280201 216.700690 439.228159 1026.397095 2869.768986 12022.165146
2025-06-08 66.651480 115.027778 209.282243 430.075860 1025.295747 2955.266504 13112.428405
2025-06-15 64.304455 112.036883 206.294275 431.158856 1053.611957 3155.022345 15070.519757
2025-06-22 61.170004 107.320873 199.359527 421.912618 1050.243279 3237.113717 16372.372239